Three predictions for Sunday night’s Premier League final between Sunderland and Chelsea, including the value of the goalscorer selection.
Our betting expert predicts a close match in which Sunderland will either defeat an uninterested Chelsea team or draw.
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Our analysis: Both teams’ forms
Sunderland has had an amazing season. They should finish comfortably in the middle of the standings. That should not be undervalued for their first season back in the Premier League. With the recently promoted club, Regis Le Bris has performed admirably. Now, they want to improve on their performance this season.
To put their performance in context, Sunderland was 27 points worse off than they are currently when they were last in the Premier League. The Black Cats still have a chance to play in Europe because of their dominant position. Last week, they maintained their position in the race for continental football with a 3-1 victory over Everton.
The hosts want to make things difficult for Chelsea, which is now in last place in Europe. Before the last week of play, the Blues are expected to guarantee a Conference League position. They are still in the running to play in the Europa League. Unfortunately, playing in the Champions League is no longer an option.
Last week, the West Londoners performed admirably in the FA Cup final. However, that was insufficient to defeat Manchester City and win the championship. A victory at the Stadium of Light is essential, but Chelsea’s ambitions now depend on the teams above them making mistakes. This match is essentially a knockout match for the Conference League place because Sunderland is also in the running.
Sunderland vs. Chelsea probable lineups
Roefs, Mukiele, Ballard, Alderete, Mandava, Xhaka, Sadiki, Hume, Le Fee, Angulo, and Brobbey are Sunderland’s anticipated starting lineup.
Sanchez, Chalobah, Fofana, Hato, Cucurella, Santos, Caicedo, Neto, Palmer, Fernandez, and Delap are Chelsea’s anticipated starting lineup.
I hope the hosts
Lately, Chelsea’s offensive has been slow. This may be because Joao Pedro, their star player, has been sidelined due to injury. They have scored four goals in the last eight league games, which is the fewest total in the league. They shouldn’t be written off in the last third, though.
This season, only Manchester City (32) has scored more league goals away from home than Chelsea (31), despite the Blues playing one fewer game. The visitors are anticipated to provide problems for the home defense on the last day, with an average of 1.72 goals per away game. Their defensive record, however, presents a different picture.
In their last 15 games and 14 of their 18 away games, Calum McFarlane’s team has failed to maintain a clean sheet. They haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last ten away games, and both teams have scored in 67% of those games. That will be encouraging for Sunderland, especially after defeating the Toffees by three last week.
Sunderland makes things hard for the Blues.
The visitors’ confidence has probably increased after their victory over Spurs on Tuesday night. In actuality, though, the Blues have lost six straight Premier League games and won only one. They have lost all three of their previous away games in this competition.
That should motivate the home team to compete on Sunday for the last European slot. This season, a number of teams have struggled to overcome the intimidating atmosphere created by the Black Cats. Sunderland has only lost four of its eighteen league home games, which is noteworthy.
After that Everton victory, the home team should be feeling very confident given they have won their last three games. Le Bris’s team also defeated Chelsea 2-1 in the rematch, which is a positive indication that they can defeat them here. But neither team will have an easy ninety minutes; thus, a draw is a reasonable outcome prediction.
The end of Brobbey’s drought
Sunderland’s main man this season has been Brian Brobbey. The forward has notched up seven goals in 30 league appearances, but he is the club’s highest goalscorer in this competition. His goals alone make up for 18% of the Black Cats’ tally this term.
The Dutch striker has been in a dry spell recently. Still, he scored Sunderland’s opener and the equalizer against Everton last weekend. He only managed 16 minutes in the reverse fixture, but still registered an assist. For this reason, we expect Brobbey to trouble the Chelsea defense and get onto the scoresheet in the Premier League finale.
